Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 22.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.58%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.

Result
Vissel Kobe	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
49.58% ( 0.2)	27.57% ( -0.02)	22.85% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 42.62% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.37% (

-0.06)

61.62% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.54% (

-0.04)

81.46% (

0.04)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.9% (

0.07)

25.09% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.21% (

0.1)

59.79% (

-0.1)

Avispa Fukuoka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.9% (

-0.21)

43.1% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.62% (

-0.18)

79.38% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Vissel Kobe 49.57%

Avispa Fukuoka 22.85%

Draw 27.56%

Vissel Kobe	Draw	Avispa Fukuoka
1-0 @ 14.95% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 49.57%	1-1 @ 12.58% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.56%	0-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.03% Total : 22.85%