Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 56.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (7.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.