SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 36.97%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
36.97% ( -0.03) | 27.71% ( 0.01) | 35.32% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.81% ( -0.02) | 57.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.95% ( -0.01) | 78.05% ( 0.02) |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.03) | 29.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.2% ( -0.04) | 65.8% ( 0.04) |
| Kashiwa Reysol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( 0.02) | 30.77% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.97% ( 0.01) | 67.03% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Avispa Fukuoka | Draw | Kashiwa Reysol |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.96% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.71% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 3.11% Total : 35.32% |
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