Playing against lower-league opposition on home turf, Utrecht will be expected to take control of proceedings and seize the game by the scruff of the neck. We are backing the hosts to get the job done in relatively comfortable fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 68.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Spakenburg had a probability of 14.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 1-0 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Spakenburg win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
FC Utrecht	Draw	Spakenburg
68.08% ( -0.08)	17.72% ( 0.03)	14.2% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 57.64% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.03% (

-0.04)

33.97% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.17% (

-0.04)

55.83% (

0.05)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.88% (

-0.02)

9.13% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.03% (

-0.07)

30.98% (

0.07)

Spakenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.43% (

0.04)

36.57% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.65% (

0.04)

73.36% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

FC Utrecht 68.08%

Spakenburg 14.2%

Draw 17.72%

FC Utrecht	Draw	Spakenburg
2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.56% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.68% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.86% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 4.77% Total : 68.08%	1-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.72%	1-2 @ 4.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 14.2%