SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
43.41% ( 0.21) | 24.62% ( 0.16) | 31.97% ( -0.37) |
| Both teams to score 57.96% ( -0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.09% ( -0.88) | 44.91% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.73% ( -0.85) | 67.26% ( 0.86) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.22% ( -0.27) | 20.78% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.57% ( -0.44) | 53.42% ( 0.44) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.16% ( -0.66) | 26.84% ( 0.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.85% ( -0.88) | 62.14% ( 0.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.26)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.73% Total : 43.41% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.61% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.14)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.1% Total : 31.97% |
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