Sparta are on a better run of results heading into the clash, but Utrecht's record in this fixture means that we cannot rule them out just yet. As a result, we are backing the teams to cancel each other out and settle for a point apiece in the end.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.3%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
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