SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 55.98%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.2%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (5.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%).
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
55.98% ( 0.13) | 20.98% ( -0.07) | 23.04% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 63.25% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.4% ( 0.26) | 34.6% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.46% ( 0.29) | 56.54% ( -0.29) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.6% ( 0.12) | 12.4% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.72% ( 0.25) | 38.27% ( -0.25) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( 0.1) | 27.8% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( 0.13) | 63.39% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.49% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.98% | 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 4.41% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 23.04% |
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