SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for FC Utrecht in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Utrecht.
| Result | ||
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
49.99% ( 0.12) | 24.25% ( -0.01) | 25.76% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 54.94% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.04% ( -0.05) | 46.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.79% ( -0.04) | 69.21% ( 0.04) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.17% ( 0.03) | 18.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.74% ( 0.05) | 50.26% ( -0.05) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( -0.11) | 32.32% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.18% ( -0.12) | 68.82% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.23% Total : 49.99% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 25.76% |
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