SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 44.21%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.21%) and 2-0 (5.66%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for NEC in this match.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
44.21% ( 0.91) | 22.53% ( 0.12) | 33.25% ( -1.03) |
| Both teams to score 66.14% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.6% ( -0.93) | 34.4% ( 0.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.68% ( -1.05) | 56.32% ( 1.05) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.81% ( -0.03) | 16.19% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.33% ( -0.04) | 45.67% ( 0.03) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.92% ( -0.97) | 21.07% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.11% ( -1.53) | 53.89% ( 1.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | Go Ahead Eagles |
| 2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.07)4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.73% Total : 44.21% | 1-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 5.31% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.91% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 3.56% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.75% Total : 33.25% |
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