SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 37.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.12%) and 3-2 (4.81%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
41.37% ( -0.72) | 21.09% ( 0.29) | 37.54% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 73.02% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 74.04% ( -1.4) | 25.96% ( 1.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.84% ( -1.83) | 46.16% ( 1.83) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.17% ( -0.82) | 13.83% ( 0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.8% ( -1.65) | 41.2% ( 1.66) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.74% ( -0.45) | 15.26% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.06% ( -0.86) | 43.94% ( 0.87) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.16)1-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.15)4-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.08)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.96% Total : 41.37% | 1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.35) 2-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.15)0-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.19)Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.09% | 1-2 @ 7.38% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 3.97% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)3-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.08% Total : 37.54% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
