Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for NEC had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest NEC win was 1-2 (7.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Go Ahead Eagles would win this match.
Result | ||
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
47.11% ( -0.07) | 24.27% ( -0.06) | 28.63% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 57.26% ( 0.29) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.02% ( 0.33) | 44.98% ( -0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.66% ( 0.32) | 67.33% ( -0.32) |
Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% ( 0.1) | 19.21% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.09% ( 0.17) | 50.91% ( -0.17) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% ( 0.26) | 29.12% ( -0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.96% ( 0.32) | 65.04% ( -0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NEC |
2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.11% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.42% Total : 28.63% |
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