Despite an unbelievable cup run for Spakenburg, PSV ought to have too much for the third-tier side, who do not match the Eredivisie title challengers for technical and match-winning quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 72.99%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Spakenburg had a probability of 10.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.82%) and 0-3 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for a Spakenburg win it was 1-0 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Spakenburg	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
10.15% ( -0.05)	16.86% ( 0.51)	72.99% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 47.21% (

-2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.2% (

-2.61)

40.8% (

2.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.81% (

-2.72)

63.19% (

2.72)

Spakenburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.31% (

-1.84)

47.68% (

1.85)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17% (

-1.4)

83% (

1.4)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.25% (

-0.77)

9.75% (

0.77)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.55% (

-1.83)

32.45% (

1.83)

Score Analysis

Spakenburg 10.15%

PSV Eindhoven 72.98%

Draw 16.86%

Spakenburg	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 3.44% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 10.15%	1-1 @ 8.02% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.74% Total : 16.86%	0-2 @ 12.59% ( 0.64) 0-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.9) 0-3 @ 9.78% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.33% ( 0) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( -0.25) 0-4 @ 5.69% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 4.21% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.24) 0-5 @ 2.65% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.96% ( -0.22) 2-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.2) 0-6 @ 1.03% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.44% Total : 72.98%