Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.59%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.65%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
25.35% | 22.05% ( 0) | 52.59% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 62.13% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.73% ( 0) | 37.27% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.52% ( 0) | 59.48% ( 0) |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( 0) | 27.47% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% | 62.97% ( 0) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.67% ( 0) | 14.33% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.83% ( 0) | 42.17% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.38% 1-0 @ 5.09% 2-0 @ 3.29% 3-1 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.76% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.2% 0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 9.6% 0-1 @ 7.65% 0-2 @ 7.43% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 4.02% 1-4 @ 3.02% 0-4 @ 2.34% 2-4 @ 1.95% 1-5 @ 1.17% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.49% Total : 52.59% |
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