SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Vitesse had a probability of 18.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 0-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Vitesse win it was 2-1 (5.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
18.73% ( -0.21) | 20.69% ( -0.05) | 60.57% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 57.24% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.65% ( -0.12) | 39.34% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.32% ( -0.12) | 61.68% ( 0.12) |
| Vitesse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( -0.29) | 34.51% ( 0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( -0.3) | 71.22% ( 0.31) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.4% ( 0.04) | 12.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.31% ( 0.07) | 38.68% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitesse | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.87% Total : 18.73% | 1-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 9.93% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.33% ( 0.08)0-1 @ 9% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 6.86% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 3.55% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.34% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.73% Total : 60.57% |
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