SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 83.42%. A draw had a probability of 11.1% and a win for Cambuur had a probability of 5.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.56%) and 4-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.23%), while for a Cambuur win it was 0-1 (1.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
83.42% ( 0.1) | 11.1% ( -0.02) | 5.47% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.86% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.11% ( -0.34) | 29.89% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.94% ( -0.41) | 51.06% ( 0.41) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.82% ( -0.05) | 5.18% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 79.49% ( -0.14) | 20.51% ( 0.13) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.37% ( -0.56) | 51.63% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.24% ( -0.38) | 85.76% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-0 @ 11.71% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 7.65% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 3.35% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)6-0 @ 2.5% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)7-0 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.48% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.63% Total : 11.1% | 0-1 @ 1.77% ( 0) 1-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.47% |
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