SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 29.55% | 28.27% | 42.18% |
| Both teams to score 45.58% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.67% | 60.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.51% | 80.49% |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.54% | 36.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.75% | 73.25% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.74% | 28.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.03% | 63.97% |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 10.39% 2-1 @ 6.63% 2-0 @ 5.24% 3-1 @ 2.23% 3-0 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.41% Other @ 1.89% Total : 29.55% | 1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.26% | 0-1 @ 13.02% 1-2 @ 8.3% 0-2 @ 8.23% 1-3 @ 3.5% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 1.76% 1-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 42.17% |
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