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La Liga | Gameweek 23
Feb 15, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Ramon de Carranza
AB

Cadiz
0 - 4
Athletic Bilbao


Cala (33'), Fali (47'), Saponjic (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Berenguer (4', 29'), Lopez (15'), Williams (52')
Nunez (19'), Vesga (70')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
29.55%28.27%42.18%
Both teams to score 45.58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.67%60.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.51%80.49%
Cadiz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54%36.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75%73.25%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.74%28.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.03%63.97%
Score Analysis
    Cadiz 29.55%
    Athletic Bilbao 42.17%
    Draw 28.26%
CadizDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 6.63%
2-0 @ 5.24%
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.76%
3-2 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 29.55%
1-1 @ 13.13%
0-0 @ 10.3%
2-2 @ 4.19%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.26%
0-1 @ 13.02%
1-2 @ 8.3%
0-2 @ 8.23%
1-3 @ 3.5%
0-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-4 @ 1.11%
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 42.17%

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