Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 50.92%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.48%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 17.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Osasuna in this match.