Getafe are not losing at the moment, but they are finding it difficult to win, and Almeria certainly have the quality to avoid defeat this weekend. We are expecting a very tight game in terms of the scoreline but believe that Getafe will be able to pick up all three points courtesy of a narrow success.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 46.5%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.
-0.1) 
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