Valencia are the form side and will certainly be the fresher of the two teams due to Osasuna's European commitments. Los Che still cannot be completely trusted to win games that they should, though, and we are tipping Osasuna to bounce back from successive losses to claim a welcome point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 48.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
-0.05) 
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