There are likely to be a lot of nerves in the Villarreal camp heading into this match, but it is a kind fixture for the Yellow Submarine against a side below them in the table. We are expecting this game to be tight in terms of the scoreline but are backing Villarreal to navigate their way to an important win.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 51.13%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Almeria win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Villarreal in this match.
-0.08) 
0.18) 
