Two of the last three league meetings between these two sides have finished level, while Sevilla are unbeaten against Valencia in Spain's top light since March 2019. We came close to backing a draw here, but Sevilla should be winning this type of match at Estadio Ramon considering their quality, so a home success is being predicted.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 38.77%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
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