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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 28, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
SL

Real Madrid
2 - 1
Sevilla

Benzema (32'), Junior (87')
Kroos (61'), Carvajal (69'), Casemiro (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mir (12')
Acuna (34'), Montiel (55'), Ocampos (84')

We said: Real Madrid 2-1 Sevilla

This has all of the makings of a very entertaining game of football, and it is a tough one to call. Sevilla will believe that they are more than capable of claiming at least a point at Bernabeu, but we just have a feeling that Real Madrid will do enough to secure a hugely important three points on home soil. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sevilla had a probability of 17.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Sevilla win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Real MadridDrawSevilla
59.24%23.68%17.08%
Both teams to score 44.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.59%54.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.22%75.78%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88%18.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93%49.07%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.66%45.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.8%81.2%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 59.23%
    Sevilla 17.08%
    Draw 23.68%
Real MadridDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 14.03%
2-0 @ 11.98%
2-1 @ 9.48%
3-0 @ 6.82%
3-1 @ 5.4%
4-0 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 2.31%
3-2 @ 2.14%
5-0 @ 1%
4-2 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.23%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 8.22%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.5%
1-2 @ 4.39%
0-2 @ 2.57%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 17.08%

Read more!
Read more!


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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