Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sevilla has a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline was Real Madrid 1-0 Sevilla with a probability of 14.03%. The next most likely scorelines were 2-0 (11.98%), 1-1 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.48%). The actual score line of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5%.