Atletico
2 - 1
Alaves

Niguez (59'), Costa (73' pen.)
Partey (40'), Savic (75'), Koke (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Joselu (90+3' pen.)
Pons (45'), Marin (58')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Alaves, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 10.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.14%) and 3-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.43%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Alaves
68.05%	21.14%	10.82%

Both teams to score 36.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.55%

56.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.54%

77.46%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.2%

15.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.05%

44.95%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.7%

56.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.36%

88.64%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 68.04%

Alaves 10.82%

Draw 21.14%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 16.41% 2-0 @ 15.14% 3-0 @ 9.32% 2-1 @ 8.7% 3-1 @ 5.35% 4-0 @ 4.3% 4-1 @ 2.47% 5-0 @ 1.59% 3-2 @ 1.54% 5-1 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.32% Total : 68.04%	1-1 @ 9.43% 0-0 @ 8.89% 2-2 @ 2.5% Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.14%	0-1 @ 5.11% 1-2 @ 2.71% 0-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.53% Total : 10.82%