Atletico
0 - 1
Chelsea

Llorente (63'), Simeone (64'), Lemar (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Giroud (68')
Mount (1'), Jorginho (64')

Build‑up

Rio Ferdinand 'frustrated' by Timo Werner

Olivier Giroud delighted with Champions League goal

Thomas Tuchel: 'Olivier Giroud is like a 20-year-old'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Chelsea
48.71%	24.43%	26.86%

Both teams to score 55.35%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.13%

46.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.87%

69.13%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.7%

19.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.94%

51.05%

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.59%

31.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.22%

67.78%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 48.71%

Chelsea 26.86%

Draw 24.42%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Chelsea
1-0 @ 9.97% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.2% 3-1 @ 5.21% 3-0 @ 4.5% 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.14% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.09% Total : 48.71%	1-1 @ 11.54% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.42%	0-1 @ 7.02% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 2.12% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.86%