Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
