Las Palmas will be looking to bounce back from their heavy defeat at Atletico, and we are backing them to secure a narrow success here despite Osasuna's recent back-to-back victories.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 49.03%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 25.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
0.09) 
-0.11) 
