SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 74.25%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Granada had a probability of 10.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Granada win it was 1-2 (3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Granada |
74.25% ( 0.04) | 15.71% ( -0.01) | 10.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.12% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.45% ( -0.1) | 35.55% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.4% ( -0.11) | 57.6% ( 0.11) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.84% ( -0.02) | 8.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.4% ( -0.04) | 28.6% ( 0.03) |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.66% ( -0.14) | 44.34% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.6% ( -0.11) | 80.4% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Granada |
| 2-0 @ 11.35% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0)1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 2.98% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.25% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 74.24% | 1-1 @ 7.37% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 15.71% | 1-2 @ 3% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.94% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 10.04% |
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