This has all of the makings of a very difficult game for Atletico, with Las Palmas so impressive this season. Simeone's side have been excellent at home in 2023-24, though, and we are backing the Red and Whites to navigate their way to a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 56.93%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Las Palmas has a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Las Palmas win it is 0-1 (6.07%).

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Las Palmas
56.93% ( 1.26)	23% ( -0.27)	20.07% ( -0.98)

Both teams to score 51.82% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.35% (

-0.1)

47.65% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

-0.1)

69.85% (

0.1)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.49% (

0.41)

16.51% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.75% (

0.72)

46.25% (

-0.72)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.06% (

-1.07)

37.94% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29% (

-1.05)

74.71% (

1.05)

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 56.93%

Las Palmas 20.07%

Draw 23%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Las Palmas
1-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.29% 5-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.11% Total : 56.93%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.55% Total : 20.07%