SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Girona had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
30.69% ( 0.54) | 25.34% ( 0.22) | 43.97% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.35% ( -0.72) | 48.64% ( 0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.24% ( -0.66) | 70.76% ( 0.66) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.46% ( 0) | 29.54% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.44% ( 0.01) | 65.56% ( -0.01) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.9% ( -0.66) | 22.09% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.55% ( -0.99) | 55.44% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.69% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.32% Total : 43.97% |
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