Girona are certainly a team to watch this season, as it is not impossible to imagine them pushing for a top-six position due to the strength of their squad and impressive head coach. Granada have found it difficult to get going so far this season, but we are backing the hosts to secure a share of the spoils here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Girona win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
0.35) 
-0.95) 
