SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for Girona had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Girona win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Girona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
46.62% ( 0.06) | 23.47% ( -0.11) | 29.91% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.92% ( 0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( 0.54) | 40.55% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( 0.56) | 62.93% ( -0.56) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( 0.23) | 17.67% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( 0.41) | 48.29% ( -0.41) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.99% ( 0.3) | 26.01% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.96% ( 0.41) | 61.03% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.97% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.85% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.1)0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 29.91% |
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