Elche were excellent in their recent home win over Villarreal, but they are still a difficult team to back due to their struggles this season. Espanyol have drawn five of their away 10 league games this season, and we can see another stalemate on Sunday afternoon.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.91%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood.
0.29) 
-0.33) 
