Espanyol have drawn five of their eight away league games this season, while Getafe have shared the points on three occasions at home. There is not an awful lot between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting the spoils to be shared in Sunday's La Liga contest.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 38.35%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 32.31% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 0-1 (11.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.15) 
-0.09) 
