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Copa del Rey | Round of 16
Jan 18, 2023 at 7pm UK
San Mamés Barria
EL

Athletic Bilbao
1 - 0
Espanyol

de Marcos (27')
Alvarez (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Puado (36'), Sanchez (44'), Gomez (45+3'), Souza (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Espanyol

Fired up by derby failure at the weekend, Athletic can take their frustration out on an Espanyol side distracted by a relegation battle and proceed to the quarter-finals. Home advantage could be the decisive factor, as the Basque club generally raise their game at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.41%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.76%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Athletic Bilbao.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
58.41% (-0.506 -0.51) 23.92% (0.286 0.29) 17.67% (0.222 0.22)
Both teams to score 45.15% (-0.38999999999999 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.54% (-0.74 -0.74)54.46% (0.744 0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.18% (-0.621 -0.62)75.82% (0.624 0.62)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.459 -0.46)18.44% (0.462 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.38% (-0.784 -0.78)49.62% (0.787 0.79)
Espanyol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.36% (-0.163 -0.16)44.64% (0.166 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.36% (-0.132 -0.13)80.64% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 58.4%
    Espanyol 17.67%
    Draw 23.91%
Athletic BilbaoDrawEspanyol
1-0 @ 13.91% (0.19 0.19)
2-0 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.63% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.35% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.8% (-0.087 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.054 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 58.4%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.11 0.11)
0-0 @ 8.23% (0.236 0.24)
2-2 @ 3.83% (-0.037 -0.04)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.64% (0.161 0.16)
1-2 @ 4.53% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.053 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 17.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, January 14 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Osasuna
Monday, January 9 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Eldense 1-6 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, January 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Betis 0-0 Athletic Bilbao
Thursday, December 29 at 6.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sestao River 0-1 Athletic Bilbao
Tuesday, December 20 at 8pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 3-0 Valladolid
Tuesday, November 8 at 7pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-2 Espanyol
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 2-2 Girona
Saturday, January 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 3-1 Celta Vigo
Tuesday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Barcelona 1-1 Espanyol
Saturday, December 31 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico Paso 0-1 Espanyol
Tuesday, December 20 at 9pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Espanyol 0-1 Villarreal
Wednesday, November 9 at 7pm in La Liga


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