Real Sociedad will be determined to return to winning ways, but Espanyol have been the draw specialists in La Liga this season, and we are finding it difficult to separate them here. An away victory would not be a surprise, but Espanyol have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 27.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.74%) and 1-2 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Espanyol win it was 1-0 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
1.33) 
-1.53) 
