There has not been a La Liga draw between these two sides since October 2018, but we are struggling to separate them on this occasion. Real Valladolid have struggled badly on their travels during the 2024-25 campaign, but we are expecting the White and Violets to be good enough to secure a share of the spoils on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 47.99%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
0.39) 
-0.12) 
