Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 23.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
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