Real Valladolid will certainly be the fresher of the two teams heading into this contest, and they are capable of making it difficult for Athletic. The Lions can call upon the greater quality all across the field, though, and we are backing the visitors to win this one relatively comfortably ahead of the November international break. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Real Valladolid has a probability of 28.76% and a draw has a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win is 1-0 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.99%).

Result
Real Valladolid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
28.76% ( -2.05)	27.77% ( -0.47)	43.47% ( 2.53)

Both teams to score 46.57% (

0.4)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.11% (

0.95)

58.89% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.61% (

0.73)

79.39% (

-0.73)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

-1.07)

36.31% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.91% (

-1.1)

73.09% (

1.09)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.12% (

1.83)

26.88% (

-1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.8% (

2.34)

62.2% (

-2.34)

Score Analysis

Real Valladolid 28.76%

Athletic Bilbao 43.47%

Draw 27.77%

Real Valladolid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.89% ( -0.66) 2-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.49) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 28.76%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.7% Total : 27.77%	0-1 @ 12.82% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 8.42% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.32) 0-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.41) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.16) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.19) Other @ 1.94% Total : 43.47%