Almeria's woeful away record is clear for all to see, and they may come unstuck again against a side who have been strong at home.
Getafe have not been beaten here since January and will hope to continue an excellent head-to-head record over Almeria.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.92%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
-0.54) 
0.18) 
