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La Liga | Gameweek 25
Mar 12, 2023 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
A

Sevilla
2 - 1
Almeria

Ocampos (45+2' pen.), Lamela (73')
Bade (32'), Ocampos (45+3'), Gudelj (71'), Lamela (74'), Dmitrovic (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Akieme (2')
Akieme (12'), Chumi (72'), Ely (83'), Baptistao (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sevilla 2-0 Fenerbahce
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Villarreal
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga

We said: Sevilla 1-0 Almeria

This is a huge match at the bottom of the table, and it will be fascinating to see what occurs on Sunday. Almeria will be the fresher of the two teams, but they have been so disappointing on their travels this season, and we are backing Sevilla to have enough quality to secure a huge three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.39%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawAlmeria
65.29% (-1.449 -1.45) 20.71% (0.773 0.77) 14% (0.675 0.67)
Both teams to score 46.63% (-0.608 -0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.85% (-1.802 -1.8)48.15% (1.801 1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.69% (-1.675 -1.68)70.31% (1.673 1.67)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.04% (-0.989 -0.99)13.96% (0.989 0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.56% (-1.983 -1.98)41.45% (1.983 1.98)
Almeria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.19% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)45.81% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.43% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)81.57% (0.063999999999993 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 65.28%
    Almeria 14%
    Draw 20.71%
SevillaDrawAlmeria
1-0 @ 12.59% (0.48 0.48)
2-0 @ 12.39% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.287 -0.29)
3-1 @ 6.35% (-0.239 -0.24)
4-0 @ 4.01% (-0.296 -0.3)
4-1 @ 3.13% (-0.239 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.1 -0.1)
5-0 @ 1.58% (-0.18 -0.18)
5-1 @ 1.23% (-0.144 -0.14)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.096 -0.1)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 65.28%
1-1 @ 9.83% (0.351 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.4% (0.464 0.46)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 20.71%
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.351 0.35)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.128 0.13)
0-2 @ 1.95% (0.133 0.13)
1-3 @ 1% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 0.98% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 1.24%
Total : 14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sevilla 2-0 Fenerbahce
Thursday, March 9 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Atletico 6-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Sevilla
Thursday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Sunday, February 19 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 PSV
Thursday, February 16 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Almeria 0-2 Villarreal
Saturday, March 4 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 1-0 Barcelona
Sunday, February 26 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Girona 6-2 Almeria
Friday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 2-3 Betis
Saturday, February 11 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-0 Almeria
Monday, February 6 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Almeria 3-1 Espanyol
Friday, January 27 at 8pm in La Liga


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