After dropping points at home on matchday one, there is significant pressure on Barca to win this match. However, Real Sociedad are a tough nut to crack, and we can envisage a share of the spoils on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 21.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-0 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Barcelona
21.39% ( 0.28)	24.76% ( 0.43)	53.85% ( -0.71)

Both teams to score 48.43% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.87% (

-1.37)

53.12% (

1.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.3% (

-1.17)

74.7% (

1.17)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.3% (

-0.49)

39.69% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.63% (

-0.46)

76.37% (

0.46)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.31% (

-0.8)

19.68% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.32% (

-1.32)

51.68% (

1.32)

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 21.39%

Barcelona 53.84%

Draw 24.76%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.36% Total : 21.39%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.41) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.81% Total : 24.76%	0-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 5.59% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.12) 0-4 @ 2.27% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 53.84%