Both teams would have taken confidence from their results against strong teams on the opening weekend of the new season, and we are expecting a close match on Sunday. A case can be made for both sides to win it, but we are struggling to separate them on this occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 50.06%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.