Villarreal need wins at this stage of the campaign to keep them in the top five, and we are backing the Yellow Submarine to edge a close match on Saturday, with Girona already suffering seven home league defeats during the 2024-25 campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
