SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.
| Result | ||
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
55.62% ( 0.44) | 22.65% ( -0.09) | 21.72% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.45% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.96% ( 0) | 44.03% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.58% ( 0) | 66.42% ( -0.01) |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( 0.15) | 15.69% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.26% ( 0.28) | 44.74% ( -0.28) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.77% ( -0.32) | 34.23% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.07% ( -0.34) | 70.93% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.76% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.72% |
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