Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 55.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 21.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
55.62% (![]() | 22.65% (![]() | 21.72% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.45% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.96% (![]() | 44.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.58% (![]() | 66.42% (![]() |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% (![]() | 15.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.26% (![]() | 44.74% (![]() |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.77% (![]() | 34.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.07% (![]() | 70.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 9.95% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.21% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.27% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.82% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.05% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.98% ( ![]() Other @ 2.54% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 10.66% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.37% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.65% | 0-1 @ 5.76% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.13% Total : 21.72% |
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