We said: Granada 1-2 Atletico Madrid
Atletico are in desperate need of a win, and there will be huge pressure on the visitors to triumph on Wednesday. Granada will be feeling good about themselves at the moment after back-to-back home league victories, but we fancy the reigning champions to edge a tight contest here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 51.51%. A win for Granada had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
