Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 38 | 49 | 86 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 30 | 73 |
3 | Atletico Madrid | 38 | 22 | 71 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
13 | Elche | 38 | -12 | 42 |
14 | Espanyol | 38 | -13 | 42 |
15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 71.98%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.05%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
71.98% | 17.02% | 11% |
Both teams to score 49.86% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.99% | 39% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.67% | 61.32% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.47% | 9.53% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.07% | 31.93% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.11% | 44.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.15% | 80.84% |
Score Analysis |
Real Madrid | Draw | Espanyol |
2-0 @ 11.82% 1-0 @ 10.05% 2-1 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 9.26% 3-1 @ 7.42% 4-0 @ 5.45% 4-1 @ 4.36% 3-2 @ 2.97% 5-0 @ 2.56% 5-1 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.75% 6-0 @ 1% Other @ 3.81% Total : 71.98% | 1-1 @ 8.05% 0-0 @ 4.28% 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.89% Total : 17.02% | 0-1 @ 3.43% 1-2 @ 3.23% 0-2 @ 1.37% 2-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 1.96% Total : 11% |
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