Las Palmas have proven to be goal-shy in the early stages of the season, but we believe that a vulnerable Granada backline could present the hosts with enough chances to end their barren spell.
At the other end of the pitch, Las Palmas have conceded no more than one goal in any of their five games, and we think that a solid defensive base will lay the foundations for a victory on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Las Palmas.
0.18) 
-0.02) 
