Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Granada had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Granada win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Las Palmas in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Las Palmas.
Result | ||
Las Palmas | Draw | Granada |
43.16% ( 0.18) | 27.29% ( -0.02) | 29.55% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.13% ( -0) | 56.86% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.21% ( -0) | 77.79% ( 0) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.89% ( 0.09) | 26.11% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.83% ( 0.13) | 61.17% ( -0.12) |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.39% ( -0.13) | 34.6% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.67% ( -0.14) | 71.33% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Las Palmas | Draw | Granada |
1-0 @ 12.13% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.87% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.15% | 1-1 @ 12.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.29% | 0-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.2% Total : 29.55% |
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