SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.29%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 19.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
| Result | ||
| Real Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
57.29% ( 1.13) | 22.86% ( -0.18) | 19.85% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 51.92% ( -0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( -0.49) | 47.34% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( -0.45) | 69.56% ( 0.45) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.73% ( 0.22) | 16.27% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.18% ( 0.4) | 45.82% ( -0.4) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% ( -1.26) | 37.99% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% ( -1.24) | 74.76% ( 1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Madrid | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( 0.34)2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.14)4-1 @ 2.71% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.17% Total : 57.28% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.22)0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.54% Total : 19.85% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
