Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 0-1 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sevilla in this match.
Result | ||
Sevilla | Draw | Las Palmas |
41.21% ( -0.74) | 28.2% ( -0.22) | 30.59% ( 0.96) |
Both teams to score 46.2% ( 1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.24% ( 1.06) | 59.76% ( -1.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.94% ( 0.8) | 80.06% ( -0.8) |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.48% ( 0.1) | 28.52% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.7% ( 0.12) | 64.3% ( -0.12) |
Las Palmas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( 1.31) | 35.37% ( -1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.87% ( 1.34) | 72.13% ( -1.33) |
Score Analysis |
Sevilla | Draw | Las Palmas |
1-0 @ 12.65% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.68% Total : 41.21% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.41) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.19% | 0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.59% |
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