Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 41.53%. A draw had a probability of 29.7% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 28.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.47%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
-0.08) 
0.02) 
