SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leganes win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Las Palmas had a probability of 23.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leganes win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Las Palmas win it was 0-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leganes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
47.76% ( -0.03) | 28.55% ( 0.06) | 23.69% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 41.05% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.94% ( -0.19) | 64.06% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.77% ( -0.14) | 83.23% ( 0.14) |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.89% ( -0.11) | 27.1% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.51% ( -0.14) | 62.49% ( 0.13) |
| Las Palmas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.31% ( -0.15) | 43.69% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.14% ( -0.12) | 79.86% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leganes | Draw | Las Palmas |
| 1-0 @ 15.45% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 47.76% | 1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.45% Total : 28.55% | 0-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.06% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)2-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.69% |
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